Property Types
Hotels and Resorts
With the world economy struggling and Europe facing deteriorating political, financial, and social conditions, participants at the ULI Japan Summer Conference in Tokyo speculated about the potential of the island nation as an international financial center and destination.
Following the resort bust in 2008, many developers, investors, and lenders in the condo-hotel market were left with broken projects. However, they can minimize their losses by converting those properties into traditional hotels or by selling or renting them as multifamily units.
The Arizona Biltmore, often called the “Jewel of the Desert,” was awarded the ULI Heritage Award for architectural integrity, landscaping, and high quality of service in 1997. Through the hotel’s 83-year history, its owners have been able to maintain the Frank Lloyd Wright–influenced vision that made the resort famous.
Industrial
Before the economy crashed, commercial property owners thought long and hard about retrofitting their properties for efficiency and environmental reasons. But today, survival has become building owners’ overriding goal, with deep-diving retrofits slipping down—or off—the list of priorities. Read more to learn when industry analysts expect once again to see a major spike in the retrofitting trend.
With a weak dollar boosting global demand for U.S. exports and the domestic economy inching back from the brink, the health of most U.S. industrial real estate markets is improving, too. Nonetheless, the national vacancy rate remains stubbornly in double-digit territory at 10.2 percent. Read what advice experts at Cushman & Wakefield and other firms have for savvy landlords with vacancies to fill.
As the number of U.S. factory jobs continues to shrink, cities increasingly find themselves with underused or abandoned industrial land. Where these sites border residential areas, the result is blight and increased crime. Read how the Oakland, California, housing authority took aging public housing on a blighted site and remade it to strengthen connections to nearby residences and community amenities.
Mixed-Use
U.S. suburbs are changing in cities such as Denver, where new transit lines and placemaking efforts around walkable mixed-use neighborhoods are creating communities more similar to the urban core, said speakers at a ULI Colorado event.
International developer Hines turns an old factory site into transit-oriented urban housing near the terminus of Boston’s Red Line.
At a ULI North Texas event in Dallas, panelists said that the renewed optimism among small business owners, strong consumer confidence, and a robust U.S. job market suggest that the next recession may be further away than predicted just a year ago. The Dallas-Fort Worth area is well-positioned for further gains, as 16 competed or under construction projects near DART stations are forecast to produce $2 billion in economic development.
Multifamily
Many populations and regions face well-documented housing affordability challenges. For college students, specifically, the lack of options located on or near campus creates an additional hurdle in achieving their higher education goals. The inability to affordably live close to school has a huge impact on their time, performance, expense, and quality of life—not to mention increased output of greenhouse gases. Perkins & Will is partnering with the University of California San Diego (UCSD), which receives the second-largest of number applications of any university, nationwide, to help those students by designing the largest on-campus housing project in the country.
Potential trouble brewing in a sector that has been viewed as relatively bulletproof multifamily sector is concerning. But while stress is very much real, industry participants are quick to point out that the overall foundation for multifamily remains strong. “The cracks that we’re seeing are not structural; they’re superficial,” says Vincent DiSalvo, chief investment officer at Kingbird Investment Management, a family office investment firm specializing in multifamily.
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Daryl Fairweather, chief economist for real estate brokerage Redfin, will be presenting at the upcoming 2024 ULI Housing Opportunity Conference in Austin. A classically trained economist with both a Ph.D. and a master’s degree in economics from the University of Chicago, Fairweather previously worked at Amazon and the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Office
Although residential fell more in the first quarter of 2023, office remains Europe’s most scarred commercial real estate sector, according to advisory firm Green Street. Government mandates around sustainability are also tightening, and Cushman & Wakefield says 76 percent of European office space could be obsolete by 2030 unless landlords start investing now.
While some big-box retail stores are closing, some developers are eyeing opportunities with retail-to-life science conversions or additions.
Mass timber has come a long way in the United States in the past eight years. Fulfilling mass timber’s green potential means responsible forest management and planning for what happens to the timber after the building’s end of life.
Residental
A San Francisco developer imports Chinese steel modules to install 22 units of graduate student housing in only four days.
A shortage of affordable housing is only one component of a broader community development crisis.
The 50 top-selling U.S. master-planned communities (MPCs) during 2018 surpassed their sales totals for the previous year by an average of 5 percent, according to data from RCLCO Real Estate Advisors. The top two communities were both in Florida: the Villages, with 2,134 home sales, is once again the top-selling community in the country, followed by Sarasota, Florida’s Lakewood Ranch.
Retail
As aging retail continue to evolve, one increasingly popular trend has been to redesign malls as town centers—recalling a time when such commercial districts were the heart and soul of a community. Mall–to–town center retrofits are emerging throughout the nation, especially in suburban communities, where pedestrian-friendly, mixed-use environments are highly attractive to millennials now raising families.
Consumers have kept a steady foot on the gas this year. A record-high 197 million consumers shopped in stores or online over the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, according to the National Retail Federation (NRF). The NRF forecasts that holiday sales will grow between 2.5 percent and 3.5 percent, with total retail spending in the United States falling between $979.5 billion and $989 billion during November and December. That forecast also is consistent with NRF’s annual U.S. sales growth—between 2.5 percent and 3.5 percent—for 2024.
After a quiet first half of 2024, CMBS originations increased 59 percent in Q3 on a year-over-year basis, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Quarterly Survey.