Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey

The April/May Federal Reserve senior loan officer opinion survey notes that both credit standards and loan terms to commercial and industrial (C & I) borrowers continued to ease with the percentage of domestic banks tightening C & I lending standards continuing to moderate (with fewer banks reporting tightening standards). Are commercial banks showing an increasing willingness to extend credit to both small and large business and household borrowers?

Easing, not getting easier, but easing. The April/May Federal Reserve senior loan officer opinion survey notes that both credit standards and loan terms to commercial and industrial (C & I) borrowers continue to ease, with the percentage of domestic banks tightening C & I lending standards continuing to moderate (with fewer banks reporting tightening standards) as shown in the following chart:

Period

Net Percentage of Domestic Banks Tightening C & I Lending Standards

Q3 2009

31.5%

Q4 2009

14.0%

Q1 2010

-5.5%

Q2 2010

-7.1%

Q3 2010

-8.8%

Q4 2010

-10.5%

Q1 2011

-10.5%

Q2 2011

-16.4%

During the quarter, demand for both C & I loans and commercial real estate loans also strengthened, especially at large commercial banks.

For the first time since the fourth quarter of 2005, commercial banks, on a net basis, eased lending standards for commercial real estate loans. Not surprisingly, demand for commercial real estate loans strengthened during the quarter with a net 34.5 percent of banks reporting stronger demand for commercial real estate loans as compared with only 12.3 percent in the first quarter of 2011.

One would sense we are at or near an inflection point, with commercial banks showing an increasing willingness to extend credit to both small and large business and household borrowers alike. This is especially encouraging as an expansion of credit to small businesses will allow for additional hiring, a key driver of the projected economic recovery.

Stephen R. Blank joined ULI in December 1998 as Senior Fellow, Finance. His primary responsibilities include: expanding ULI’s real estate capital markets information and education programs; authoring real estate capital market commentary; participating as a principal researcher and adviser for the Emerging Trends in Real Estate series of publications; organizing and participating in real estate capital markets programs at ULI events worldwide; and participating in industry meetings, seminars, and conferences. Prior to joining ULI, Blank served from December 1993 to November 1998 as Managing Director, Real Estate Investment Banking of Oppenheimer & Co., Inc. His responsibilities included: structuring, underwriting, and executing corporate financings including initial public offerings of common and preferred shares, unsecured debentures, and convertible bonds; property acquisitions, dispositions, and financing; and financial advisory services including mergers and acquisitions, corporate restructurings, and recapitalizations.
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