Capital Markets and Finance
A $3.6 billion commitment to create or preserve 35,000-plus affordable homes
Over the last 18 months, commercial real estate loans have been maturing at a torrid rate, in a rapidly evolving marketplace. Although economic growth remains resilient, commercial real estate oversupply, growth in operating expenses, higher leverage, and the cost of debt are creating headwinds for commercial real estate asset values. Moreover, roughly $2 trillion in commercial real estate loans will mature by the end of 2026.
Affordability and low inventory are continuing to create pain points for the housing market. According to newly released data from the National Association of REALTORS (NAR), pending home sales are at their lowest level since the Great Financial Crisis. Existing-home sales for August dropped 4.2 percent from a year ago to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.86 million. Although the Fed has kicked off its rate-cutting cycle with a 50-basis-point reduction at its September 18 meeting, high interest rates are still a big hurdle for homebuyers and housing developers.
The city of Baltimore has approximately 13,000 abandoned houses and 20,000 vacant lots that create health, safety, and financial hazards for nearby properties. Although it might seem simple to fix and flip these homes, the math doesn’t easily compute.
In an era when the demand for attainable housing continues to outpace supply, sustainable workforce housing is a necessary and prudent investment decision based on three key market trends. Primarily, the demand for attainable housing is growing. Workforce rental housing is increasingly sought after, particularly given dwindling affordability and growing barriers to home ownership. Last but not least, generational demand contributes to the rise of sustainable multifamily housing.
Commercial real estate loans totaling almost $1.8 trillion are set to mature before the end of 2026, according to Trepp. One sign of the accompanying stress is the commercial mortgage–backed security (CMBS) special servicing rate, with its latest numbers inching up to 8.2 percent, the highest since June 2021.
In early April 2024, Small Change, an investment crowdfunding platform for real estate development with social impact, and Boston Real Estate Inclusion Fund (BREIF) jointly announced an investment opportunity in a $430 million life sciences building under development by Related Beal. The property—at 22 Drydock Avenue, in Boston’s Seaport District—is slated to be the city’s first life sciences building to achieve LEED Platinum and net-zero carbon emissions.
The global head of corporate real estate at one of the world’s biggest banks told attendees at the 2024 ULI Europe Conference in Milan that a lack of sustainable office assets is “one of the biggest challenges” the company faces.
In May, Barry Sternlicht capped investors’ ability to exit his $10 billion real estate fund—a strategic move to avoid a fire sale of properties at a less-than-ideal time. Sternlicht lowered the limit on monthly withdrawals from Starwood Real Estate Income Trust (SREIT). That limit, previously 2 percent, went to 0.33 percent of net asset value (NAV), the value of SREIT’s assets minus its debt.
On Thursday, CREW DC, AAREP DC, and ULI Washington delivered the third and final program in a series intended to demystify valuations and provide practical insights on negotiating equity and debt.