Monday’s Numbers: March 12, 2012

Spreads reported by Trepp LLC remain “range-bound” at an average spread of 207 basis points over 10-year Treasuries. The Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick-Goldman Survey shows rates coming in slightly with lenders seemingly ready to lend at attractive spreads if the right deal comes their way.

Spreads reported by Trepp LLC remain “range-bound” at an average spread of 207 basis points over 10-year Treasuries.

Asking Spreads over U.S. Treasury Bonds in Basis Points

(10-year Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Loans with 50% to 59% Loan-to-Value Ratios)

12/31/09

12/31/10

12/31/11

3/2/12

Month Earlier

Office

342

214

210

215

219

Retail

326

207

207

208

214

Multifamily

318

188

198

200

206

Industrial

333

201

205

204

209

Average Spread

330

203

205

207

212

10-Year Treasury

3.83%

3.29%

1.88%

1.98%

2.00%

The Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick-Goldman Survey shows rates coming in slightly with lenders seemingly ready to lend at attractive spreads if the right deal comes their way.

Property Type

Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage

Spreads For 5 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages

12/31/10

1/5/12

1/26/12

2/28/12

Multifamily - Non-Agency

+270

+245

+240

+240

Multifamily – Agency

+280

+255

+245

+210

Regional Mall

+280

+300

+300

+300

Grocery Anchored

+280

+295

+295

+290

Strip and Power Centers

+320

+320

+315

Multi-Tenant Industrial

+270

+305

+310

+310

CBD Office

+280

+310

+310

+295

Suburban Office

+300

+320

+320

+310

Full-Service Hotel

+320

+350

+350

+350

Limited-Service Hotel

+400

+360

+360

+360

5-Year Treasury

2.60%

0.89%

0.78%

0.83%

Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman.

Property Type

Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage

Spreads For 10 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages

12/31/10

1/5/12

1/26/12

2/28/12

Multifamily - Non-Agency

+190

+205

+210

+210

Multifamily – Agency

+200

+200

+205

+180

Regional Mall

+175

+245

+245

+235

Grocery Anchor

+190

+240

+240

+230

Strip and Power Centers

+255

+255

+250

Multi-Tenant Industrial

+190

+245

+255

+250

CBD Office

+180

+250

+240

+320

Suburban Office

+190

+265

+260

+250

Full-Service Hotel

+290

+300

+290

+290

Limited-Service Hotel

+330

+310

+315

+315

10-Year Treasury

3.47%

2.00%

1.97%

1.90%

Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman.

Property Type

Mid-Point of Floating-Rate Commercial Mortgage

Spreads For 3 - 5 Commercial Real Estate Year Mortgages

12/31/10

1/5/12

1/26/12

2/28/12

Multifamily – Non-Agency

+250-300

+200-250

+200-250

+200-250

Multifamily- Agency

+300

+220-265

+220-265

+220-265

Regional Mall

+275-300

+250-350

+210-265

+200-265

Grocery Anchored

+275-300

+240-325

+200-275

+200-275

Strip and Power Centers

+250-350

+225-300

+225-300

Multi-Tenant Industrial

+250-350

+270-350

+225-305

+225-305

CBD Office

+225-300

+275-350

+225-300

+225-300

Suburban Office

+250-350

+300-350

+250-325

+250-325

Full-Service Hotel

+300-450

+375-475

+350-425

+275-400

Limited-Service Hotel

+450-600

+375-550

+400-500

+350-550

1-Month LIBOR

0.26%

0.30%

0.27%

0.24%

3-Month LIBOR

0.30%

0.58%

0.55%

0.49%

* A dash (-) indicates a range.

Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman.

Year-to-Date Public Equity Capital Markets

DJIA (1): +5.77%
S & P 500 (2): +9.01%
NASDAQ (3): +14.71%
Russell 2000 (4):+10.21%
Morgan Stanley U.S. REIT (5):+5.39%
_____
(1) Dow Jones Industrial Average. (2) Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index. (3) NASD Composite Index. (4) Small Capitalization segment of U.S. equity universe. (5) Morgan Stanley REIT Index.

U.S. Treasury Yields

12/31/10

12/31/11

3/8/12

3-Month

0.12%

0.01%

.08%

6-Month

0.18%

0.06%

.13%

2 Year

0.59%

0.24%

.32%

5 Year

2.01%

0.83%

.89%

10 Year

3.29%

1.88%

2.03%

Key Rates (in Percentages)

Current

1 Mo. Prior

3 Mo. Prior

6 Mo. Prior

1 Yr. Prior

Fed Funds Rate

0.13

0.10

0.07

0.12

0.16

Federal Reserve Target Rate

0.25

0.25

0.25

0.25

0.25

Prime Rate

3.25

3.25

3.25

3.25

3.25

US Unemployment Rate

8.30

8.30

8.70

9.10

9.00

1-Month Libor

0.24

0.25

0.28

0.23

0.26

3-Month Libor

0.47

0.51

0.54

0.34

.031

Stephen R. Blank joined ULI in December 1998 as Senior Fellow, Finance. His primary responsibilities include: expanding ULI’s real estate capital markets information and education programs; authoring real estate capital market commentary; participating as a principal researcher and adviser for the Emerging Trends in Real Estate series of publications; organizing and participating in real estate capital markets programs at ULI events worldwide; and participating in industry meetings, seminars, and conferences. Prior to joining ULI, Blank served from December 1993 to November 1998 as Managing Director, Real Estate Investment Banking of Oppenheimer & Co., Inc. His responsibilities included: structuring, underwriting, and executing corporate financings including initial public offerings of common and preferred shares, unsecured debentures, and convertible bonds; property acquisitions, dispositions, and financing; and financial advisory services including mergers and acquisitions, corporate restructurings, and recapitalizations.
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