Spreads reported by Trepp LLC remain “range-bound” at an average spread of 207 basis points over 10-year Treasuries.
Asking Spreads over U.S. Treasury Bonds in Basis Points (10-year Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Loans with 50% to 59% Loan-to-Value Ratios) | |||||
12/31/09 | 12/31/10 | 12/31/11 | 3/2/12 | Month Earlier | |
Office | 342 | 214 | 210 | 215 | 219 |
Retail | 326 | 207 | 207 | 208 | 214 |
Multifamily | 318 | 188 | 198 | 200 | 206 |
Industrial | 333 | 201 | 205 | 204 | 209 |
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Average Spread | 330 | 203 | 205 | 207 | 212 |
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10-Year Treasury | 3.83% | 3.29% | 1.88% | 1.98% | 2.00% |
The Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick-Goldman Survey shows rates coming in slightly with lenders seemingly ready to lend at attractive spreads if the right deal comes their way.
Property Type | Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 5 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages | ||||
12/31/10 | 1/5/12 | 1/26/12 | 2/28/12 |
| |
Multifamily - Non-Agency | +270 | +245 | +240 | +240 |
|
Multifamily – Agency | +280 | +255 | +245 | +210 |
|
Regional Mall | +280 | +300 | +300 | +300 |
|
Grocery Anchored | +280 | +295 | +295 | +290 |
|
Strip and Power Centers |
| +320 | +320 | +315 |
|
Multi-Tenant Industrial | +270 | +305 | +310 | +310 |
|
CBD Office | +280 | +310 | +310 | +295 |
|
Suburban Office | +300 | +320 | +320 | +310 |
|
Full-Service Hotel | +320 | +350 | +350 | +350 |
|
Limited-Service Hotel | +400 | +360 | +360 | +360 |
|
5-Year Treasury | 2.60% | 0.89% | 0.78% | 0.83% |
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Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman. |
Property Type | Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 10 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages | ||||
12/31/10 | 1/5/12 | 1/26/12 | 2/28/12 |
| |
Multifamily - Non-Agency | +190 | +205 | +210 | +210 |
|
Multifamily – Agency | +200 | +200 | +205 | +180 |
|
Regional Mall | +175 | +245 | +245 | +235 |
|
Grocery Anchor | +190 | +240 | +240 | +230 |
|
Strip and Power Centers |
| +255 | +255 | +250 |
|
Multi-Tenant Industrial | +190 | +245 | +255 | +250 |
|
CBD Office | +180 | +250 | +240 | +320 |
|
Suburban Office | +190 | +265 | +260 | +250 |
|
Full-Service Hotel | +290 | +300 | +290 | +290 |
|
Limited-Service Hotel | +330 | +310 | +315 | +315 |
|
10-Year Treasury | 3.47% | 2.00% | 1.97% | 1.90% |
|
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman. |
Property Type | Mid-Point of Floating-Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 3 - 5 Commercial Real Estate Year Mortgages | ||||
12/31/10 | 1/5/12 | 1/26/12 | 2/28/12 |
| |
Multifamily – Non-Agency | +250-300 | +200-250 | +200-250 | +200-250 |
|
Multifamily- Agency | +300 | +220-265 | +220-265 | +220-265 |
|
Regional Mall | +275-300 | +250-350 | +210-265 | +200-265 |
|
Grocery Anchored | +275-300 | +240-325 | +200-275 | +200-275 |
|
Strip and Power Centers |
| +250-350 | +225-300 | +225-300 |
|
Multi-Tenant Industrial | +250-350 | +270-350 | +225-305 | +225-305 |
|
CBD Office | +225-300 | +275-350 | +225-300 | +225-300 |
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Suburban Office | +250-350 | +300-350 | +250-325 | +250-325 |
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Full-Service Hotel | +300-450 | +375-475 | +350-425 | +275-400 |
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Limited-Service Hotel | +450-600 | +375-550 | +400-500 | +350-550 |
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1-Month LIBOR | 0.26% | 0.30% | 0.27% | 0.24% |
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3-Month LIBOR | 0.30% | 0.58% | 0.55% | 0.49% |
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* A dash (-) indicates a range. | |||||
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman. |
Year-to-Date Public Equity Capital Markets
DJIA (1): +5.77%
S & P 500 (2): +9.01%
NASDAQ (3): +14.71%
Russell 2000 (4):+10.21%
Morgan Stanley U.S. REIT (5):+5.39%
_____
(1) Dow Jones Industrial Average. (2) Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index. (3) NASD Composite Index. (4) Small Capitalization segment of U.S. equity universe. (5) Morgan Stanley REIT Index.
U.S. Treasury Yields | |||
12/31/10 | 12/31/11 | 3/8/12 | |
3-Month | 0.12% | 0.01% | .08% |
6-Month | 0.18% | 0.06% | .13% |
2 Year | 0.59% | 0.24% | .32% |
5 Year | 2.01% | 0.83% | .89% |
10 Year | 3.29% | 1.88% | 2.03% |
Key Rates (in Percentages) | |||||
| Current | 1 Mo. Prior | 3 Mo. Prior | 6 Mo. Prior | 1 Yr. Prior |
Fed Funds Rate | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.16 |
Federal Reserve Target Rate | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
Prime Rate | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
US Unemployment Rate | 8.30 | 8.30 | 8.70 | 9.10 | 9.00 |
1-Month Libor | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.26 |
3-Month Libor | 0.47 | 0.51 | 0.54 | 0.34 | .031 |