Monday’s Numbers: June 20, 2011

The Commercial Mortgage Alert Trepp weekly survey of 15 active portfolio lenders remained relatively unchanged during the most recent survey period. And as we seem to say, all-in costs remain in the 5.00+/- percent range and should be range bound for the foreseeable future, subject to a “Black Swan” event.

June 20, 2011

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Print
Copy
Link copied
Email

Headlines

ULI’s Real Estate Capital Markets Conference, “Real Estate Finance and Investment 2011 – Investing, Accessing, Lending, and Sourcing Capital” is being held on June 22 – 23 in New York (Sheraton New York Hotels & Towers). For additional information, see www.uli.org/capitalmarkets.

Monday’s Numbers

The Commercial Mortgage Alert Trepp weekly survey (below) of 15 active portfolio lenders remained relatively unchanged during the most recent survey period. All-in costs remain in the 5.00+/- percent range and should be range bound for the foreseeable future, subject to a “Black Swan” event.

Asking Spreads over U.S. Treasury Bonds in Basis Points (10-year Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Loans with 50% to 59% Loan-to-Value Ratios)
	12/31/09	12/31/10	6/10/11
Office	342	214	184
Retail	326	207	175
Multifamily	318	188	162
Industrial	333	201	170
Average Asking Spread	330	203	173
10-Year Treasury	3.83%	3.29%	2.97%

The Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick-Goldman Survey for the period ended June 16 showed fixed rate spreads widening maybe 10 basis points and floating rate spreads narrowing maybe 5 basis points. So…financing remains available at attractive and affordable rates.

Property Type	Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 5 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages
	12/16/10	3/31/11	5/12/11	6/2/11	6/16/11
Multifamily - Non-Agency	+270	+245	+225	+225	+230
Multifamily – Agency	+280	+250	+200	+200	+210
Regional Mall	+280	+260	+255	+255	+265
Grocery Anchored	+280	+260	+245	+245	+250
Strip and Power Centers			+265	+265	+270
Multi-Tenant Industrial	+270	+265	+245	+245	+255
CBD Office	+280	+260	+250	+250	+255
Suburban Office	+300	+270	+260	+260	+270
Full-Service Hotel	+320	+300	+275	+265	+275
Limited-Service Hotel	+400	+325	+320	+300	+310
5-Year Treasury	2.60%	2.23%	1.88%	1.62%	1.52%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman.

Property Type	Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 10 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages
	12/1610	3/31/11	5/12/11	6/2/11	6/16/11
Multifamily - Non-Agency	+190	+180	+180	+180	+185
Multifamily – Agency	+200	+185	+175	+170	+175
Regional Mall	+175	+180	+180	+180	+190
Grocery Anchor	+190	+185	+175	+175	+200
Strip and Power Centers			+190	+190	+195
Multi-Tenant Industrial	+190	+190	+185	+185	+190
CBD Office	+180	+180	+180	+180	+190
Suburban Office	+190	+190	+190	+190	+195
Full-Service Hotel	+290	+230	+220	+220	+225
Limited-Service Hotel	+330	+260	+240	+240	+245
10-Year Treasury	3.47%	3.45%	3.22%	2.99%	2.94%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman.

Property Type	Mid-Point of Floating-Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 3 - 5 Commercial Real Estate Year Mortgages
	12/16/10	3/31/11	5/12/11	6/2/11	6/16/11
Multifamily – Non-Agency	+250-300	+225-325	+205-300	+200-275	+200-260
Multifamily- Agency	+300	+250-310	+225-310	+220-270	+220-260
Regional Mall	+275-300	+225-300	+200-275	+205-275	+205-270
Grocery Anchored	+275-300	+225-300	+210-285	+215-285	+205-275
Strip and Power Centers			+230-300	+235-300	+225-300
Multi-Tenant Industrial	+250-350	+250-350	+235-325	+230-325	+230-325
CBD Office	+225-300	+225-300	+225-300	+215-300	+215-300
Suburban Office	+250-350	+275-350	+250-350	+250-325	+250-325
Full-Service Hotel	+300-450	+350-450	+350-450	+350-450	+350-450
Limited-Service Hotel	+450-600	+400-500	+400-500	+400-500	+400-500
1-Month LIBOR	0.26%	0.22%	0.20%	0.19%	0.19%
3-Month LIBOR	0.30%	0.28%	0.26%	0.25%	0.25%
* A dash (-) indicates a range.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman.

Year-to-Date Public Equity Capital Markets

DJIA ⁽¹⁾: +3.69%
S & P 500⁽²⁾:+1.10%
NASDAQ⁽³⁾: -1.37%
Russell 2000 ⁽⁴⁾:-0.22%
MSCI U.S. REIT ⁽⁵⁾:+6.27%
_____
^{(1) Dow Jones Industrial Average. (2) Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index. (3) NASD Composite Index.}^{(4) Small Capitalization segment of U.S. equity universe. (5) Morgan Stanley REIT Index.}

U.S. Treasury Yields
	12/31/10	6/18/2011
3-Month	0.12%	0.03%
6-Month	0.18%	0.09%
2 Year	0.59%	0.37%
5 Year	2.01%	1.53%
10 Year	3.29%	2.94%

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Print
Copy
Link copied
Email

Stephen Blank

Stephen R. Blank joined ULI in December 1998 as Senior Fellow, Finance. His primary responsibilities include: expanding ULI’s real estate capital markets information and education programs; authoring real estate capital market commentary; participating as a principal researcher and adviser for the Emerging Trends in Real Estate series of publications; organizing and participating in real estate capital markets programs at ULI events worldwide; and participating in industry meetings, seminars, and conferences. Prior to joining ULI, Blank served from December 1993 to November 1998 as Managing Director, Real Estate Investment Banking of Oppenheimer & Co., Inc. His responsibilities included: structuring, underwriting, and executing corporate financings including initial public offerings of common and preferred shares, unsecured debentures, and convertible bonds; property acquisitions, dispositions, and financing; and financial advisory services including mergers and acquisitions, corporate restructurings, and recapitalizations.