Spreads reported by Trepp LLC remain “range-bound” at an average spread of 207 basis points over 10-year Treasuries.
Asking Spreads over U.S. Treasury Bonds in Basis Points (10-year Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Loans with 50% to 59% Loan-to-Value Ratios) |
|
12/31/09 |
12/31/10 |
12/31/11 |
3/2/12 |
Month Earlier |
Office |
342 |
214 |
210 |
215 |
219 |
Retail |
326 |
207 |
207 |
208 |
214 |
Multifamily |
318 |
188 |
198 |
200 |
206 |
Industrial |
333 |
201 |
205 |
204 |
209 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average Spread |
330 |
203 |
205 |
207 |
212 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
10-Year Treasury |
3.83% |
3.29% |
1.88% |
1.98% |
2.00% |
The Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick-Goldman Survey shows rates coming in slightly with lenders seemingly ready to lend at attractive spreads if the right deal comes their way.
Property Type |
Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 5 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages |
|
12/31/10 |
1/5/12 |
1/26/12 |
2/28/12 |
|
Multifamily - Non-Agency |
+270 |
+245 |
+240 |
+240 |
|
Multifamily – Agency |
+280 |
+255 |
+245 |
+210 |
|
Regional Mall |
+280 |
+300 |
+300 |
+300 |
|
Grocery Anchored |
+280 |
+295 |
+295 |
+290 |
|
Strip and Power Centers |
|
+320 |
+320 |
+315 |
|
Multi-Tenant Industrial |
+270 |
+305 |
+310 |
+310 |
|
CBD Office |
+280 |
+310 |
+310 |
+295 |
|
Suburban Office |
+300 |
+320 |
+320 |
+310 |
|
Full-Service Hotel |
+320 |
+350 |
+350 |
+350 |
|
Limited-Service Hotel |
+400 |
+360 |
+360 |
+360 |
|
5-Year Treasury |
2.60% |
0.89% |
0.78% |
0.83% |
|
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman. |
Property Type |
Mid-Point of Fixed Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 10 Year Commercial Real Estate Mortgages |
|
12/31/10 |
1/5/12 |
1/26/12 |
2/28/12 |
|
Multifamily - Non-Agency |
+190 |
+205 |
+210 |
+210 |
|
Multifamily – Agency |
+200 |
+200 |
+205 |
+180 |
|
Regional Mall |
+175 |
+245 |
+245 |
+235 |
|
Grocery Anchor |
+190 |
+240 |
+240 |
+230 |
|
Strip and Power Centers |
|
+255 |
+255 |
+250 |
|
Multi-Tenant Industrial |
+190 |
+245 |
+255 |
+250 |
|
CBD Office |
+180 |
+250 |
+240 |
+320 |
|
Suburban Office |
+190 |
+265 |
+260 |
+250 |
|
Full-Service Hotel |
+290 |
+300 |
+290 |
+290 |
|
Limited-Service Hotel |
+330 |
+310 |
+315 |
+315 |
|
10-Year Treasury |
3.47% |
2.00% |
1.97% |
1.90% |
|
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman. |
Property Type |
Mid-Point of Floating-Rate Commercial Mortgage Spreads For 3 - 5 Commercial Real Estate Year Mortgages |
|
12/31/10 |
1/5/12 |
1/26/12 |
2/28/12 |
|
Multifamily – Non-Agency |
+250-300 |
+200-250 |
+200-250 |
+200-250 |
|
Multifamily- Agency |
+300 |
+220-265 |
+220-265 |
+220-265 |
|
Regional Mall |
+275-300 |
+250-350 |
+210-265 |
+200-265 |
|
Grocery Anchored |
+275-300 |
+240-325 |
+200-275 |
+200-275 |
|
Strip and Power Centers |
|
+250-350 |
+225-300 |
+225-300 |
|
Multi-Tenant Industrial |
+250-350 |
+270-350 |
+225-305 |
+225-305 |
|
CBD Office |
+225-300 |
+275-350 |
+225-300 |
+225-300 |
|
Suburban Office |
+250-350 |
+300-350 |
+250-325 |
+250-325 |
|
Full-Service Hotel |
+300-450 |
+375-475 |
+350-425 |
+275-400 |
|
Limited-Service Hotel |
+450-600 |
+375-550 |
+400-500 |
+350-550 |
|
1-Month LIBOR |
0.26% |
0.30% |
0.27% |
0.24% |
|
3-Month LIBOR |
0.30% |
0.58% |
0.55% |
0.49% |
|
* A dash (-) indicates a range. |
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman. |
Year-to-Date Public Equity Capital Markets
DJIA (1): +5.77%
S & P 500 (2): +9.01%
NASDAQ (3): +14.71%
Russell 2000 (4):+10.21%
Morgan Stanley U.S. REIT (5):+5.39%
_____
(1) Dow Jones Industrial Average. (2) Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index. (3) NASD Composite Index. (4) Small Capitalization segment of U.S. equity universe. (5) Morgan Stanley REIT Index.
U.S. Treasury Yields |
|
12/31/10 |
12/31/11 |
3/8/12 |
3-Month |
0.12% |
0.01% |
.08% |
6-Month |
0.18% |
0.06% |
.13% |
2 Year |
0.59% |
0.24% |
.32% |
5 Year |
2.01% |
0.83% |
.89% |
10 Year |
3.29% |
1.88% |
2.03% |
Key Rates (in Percentages) |
|
Current |
1 Mo. Prior |
3 Mo. Prior |
6 Mo. Prior |
1 Yr. Prior |
Fed Funds Rate |
0.13 |
0.10 |
0.07 |
0.12 |
0.16 |
Federal Reserve Target Rate |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
Prime Rate |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
US Unemployment Rate |
8.30 |
8.30 |
8.70 |
9.10 |
9.00 |
1-Month Libor |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
3-Month Libor |
0.47 |
0.51 |
0.54 |
0.34 |
.031 |